Preseason Rankings
Purdue Fort Wayne
Summit League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#241
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.8#20
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#200
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#288
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 11.7% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 32.9% 54.8% 27.1%
.500 or above in Conference 50.1% 64.7% 46.2%
Conference Champion 8.7% 14.5% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 7.4% 15.4%
First Four2.0% 1.9% 2.0%
First Round6.5% 10.7% 5.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 21.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 146   @ UNLV L 75-83 21%    
  Nov 10, 2019 294   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 80-79 50%    
  Nov 13, 2019 150   Miami (OH) L 75-77 42%    
  Nov 16, 2019 336   Stetson W 86-75 83%    
  Nov 19, 2019 129   @ Kent St. L 74-83 20%    
  Nov 22, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 63-85 3%    
  Nov 27, 2019 315   Niagara W 87-79 75%    
  Nov 30, 2019 137   @ Grand Canyon L 74-83 22%    
  Dec 04, 2019 255   Eastern Illinois W 80-76 63%    
  Dec 07, 2019 131   @ Illinois-Chicago L 76-85 21%    
  Dec 14, 2019 253   @ IUPUI L 79-81 41%    
  Dec 22, 2019 35   @ Iowa St. L 71-90 5%    
  Jan 01, 2020 165   South Dakota L 77-78 46%    
  Jan 05, 2020 262   @ North Dakota L 79-81 44%    
  Jan 08, 2020 283   @ Western Illinois L 77-78 48%    
  Jan 11, 2020 224   South Dakota St. W 84-82 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 205   Oral Roberts W 81-80 54%    
  Jan 23, 2020 165   @ South Dakota L 74-81 27%    
  Jan 25, 2020 195   @ Nebraska Omaha L 78-83 33%    
  Jan 30, 2020 262   North Dakota W 82-78 63%    
  Feb 01, 2020 153   North Dakota St. L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 05, 2020 283   Western Illinois W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 08, 2020 305   @ Denver W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 14, 2020 153   @ North Dakota St. L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 16, 2020 224   @ South Dakota St. L 81-85 38%    
  Feb 20, 2020 195   Nebraska Omaha W 81-80 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 305   Denver W 82-75 72%    
  Feb 29, 2020 205   @ Oral Roberts L 78-83 34%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.4 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 8.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.9 4.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.7 5.0 1.6 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.1 5.1 1.4 0.1 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.7 5.3 1.5 0.1 12.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.4 4.3 1.4 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.1 3.3 0.9 0.1 11.1 8th
9th 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.4 9th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.4 7.4 9.3 11.0 12.8 12.3 11.0 9.4 7.4 4.8 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
14-2 95.1% 1.5    1.3 0.2 0.0
13-3 78.4% 2.3    1.6 0.7 0.0
12-4 48.6% 2.4    1.1 1.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 21.4% 1.6    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 5.0 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 72.6% 72.2% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3%
15-1 0.6% 46.0% 45.9% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2%
14-2 1.5% 36.3% 36.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.0% 31.8% 31.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.0
12-4 4.8% 21.3% 21.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 3.8
11-5 7.4% 16.1% 16.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 6.2
10-6 9.4% 11.3% 11.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 8.3
9-7 11.0% 8.1% 8.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 10.1
8-8 12.3% 5.0% 5.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.7
7-9 12.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 12.4
6-10 11.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.8
5-11 9.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.2
4-12 7.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-13 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
2-14 2.6% 2.6
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.4 92.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%